What Does Over 4.5 Goals Mean

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  • A typical £10 bet on an English Premier League match to finish over 3.5 goals is likely to be quoted at odds of around 6/4. In other words, it gives a decent return. However, if these returns don’t satisfy, then the ‘over 4.5 goals’ or ‘over 5.5. Goals‘ markets could be for you.
  • An Over 4.5 goals bet is on five or more goals being scored in a game. And Under 4.5 Goals bet is for four or fewer goals to be scored in a game. Unlike the other Over/Under betting markets a safer prospect (but less lucrative in terms of the odds available) is usually to pick selections for Under 4.5 goals to be scored.

Over 3.5 goals means that at the end of the football match the game must have had 4 or more goals scored for the bet to have won, and similar if you bet on under 3.5 goals, the game would have to have ended with under 4 goals for you to have won. So if you back over 3.5 goals you will lose your bet if the final result is 0-0, 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-0, 0-2, 2-1, 1-2, 3-0, and 0-3, and you will win on. What over 4.5 goals means in betting? When betting on over 4.5 goals your basically betting that the football match will have 5 goals or more. It does not matter what team scores the goals, as long as the game has 5 goals (or more) you will win.

  1. Goal Line Betting & Refunds

[block]7[/block]Goal Line Betting tips

An ever popular betting medium is betting on the number of goals in a game. In certain matches it makes sense to focus on this than the result. For example at certain times of the season, for example in a tight relegation dog fight, the result could go either way, but goals (or lack of) could be a better focus for your betting.
For example, you might bet on there being ‘Over 2.5 goals’ in Manchester United v Chelsea at 1.95, which means you win if there are three goals or more, regardless of who wins the match. It could be 3-0, 1-2 or 2-2 and you would still win.

Smart

[block]9[/block]what does under 2.5 goals mean

What Does Over/under 4.5 Goals Mean

Alternatively, you could be on there being ‘Under 2.5 goals’ in Manchester United v Chelsea at 1.95, which means you win if there are two goals or less, regardless of who wins. It could be 1-0, 0-0 or 0-2 and your bet would win.
The main goals market you will most likely be using will be Over/Under 2.5 goals. This sometimes confuses people who are new to football betting as there is obviously no such thing as half a goal!
How Does Over/ Under 2.5 Goal Betting Work?
In over/ under betting, bookmakers commonly use a “half” a goal so they can offer odds on a single “line”. In reality with 2.5 goals betting, you are betting on there being over 2 goals or under 3 goals. By referring to 2.5, you have everything on a single line as three is above 2.5 and 2 is below 2.5.
If you back ‘over’, then you need three goals to win, if you back ‘under’, then you want no more than two goals.

[block]10[/block]Over/ Under 1.5 & Over/ Under 3.5 goal betting

What Does Over 4.5 Goals Mean

2.5 goals isn’t the only option available to you for betting on the goals market. If we look at the odds comparison for the Evertonv Wigan game, we can see a whole range of goal lines:

The majority of bookmakers (43) are pricing up the over/ under 2.5 goals line, but there are also a number at +1.5, +3.5 etc and some offering +2.25.

These other goal lines are relatively easy to understand as follows:

  • Over/ Under 0.5 goals means you want either 1 goal or more (over) or no goals at all (under).
  • Over/ Under 1.5 goals means you want either 2 goals or more (over) or 1 goal or less (under).
  • Over/ Under 3.5 goals means you want either 4 goals or more (over) or 3 goal or less (under).

By far the most popular goal lines for betting are over 2.5 goals and over 3.5 goals. More people prefer to back ‘over goals’ than ‘under goals’, even though there is no logic to this, it must be psychologically more appealing to want to cheer on goals in a game!

[block]11[/block]Goal Line Betting & Refunds

As well as offering various ‘half ball’ lines for goal betting such as Over 2.5 goals and Over 3.5 goals, bookmakers also offer what is known as ‘full ball’ or ‘one the line’ markets.
Examples of these include:

  • Over 2.0 goals
  • Over 4.0 goals
  • Under 3.0 goals

What Does Over 4.5 Goals Meaning

The difference here is that you get your money back if the game finishes exactly on the line. The downside is that lower odds are on offer. Here are some examples:

  • If you bet on over 3.0 goals and the game finishes 2-1, you will receive a refund.
  • If you bet on over 3.0 goals and the game finishes 3-1, you win.
  • If you bet on over 3.0 goals and the game finishes 2-0, you lose.
  • If you bet on under 3.0 goals and the game finishes 3-0, you will receive a refund.
  • If you bet on under 3.0 goals and the game finishes 2-0, you win.
  • If you bet on under 3.0 goals and the game finishes 3-1, you lose.

The advantage of this ‘full goal’ betting is that you can get better odds than straight forward over 2.5 goal betting, but avoid the frustration of falling one goal short of your target. Many punters find this psychologically reassuring.

What Does Goals Mean

[block]12[/block]Quarter Ball Betting

The most complicated form of goal line betting is the ‘quarter ball’ line. The best way to understand this form of betting is to think of it as two half bets.

[block]13[/block]Typical quarter ball bets are as follows:

  • Over 2.75 goals
  • Over 2.25 goals

The over 2.75 goals bet is best seen as half an over 2.5 goals bet and half and over 3.0 goals bet. If the score is 2-1, you win with the over 2.5 goals part, but only get a refund with the over 3.0 goals part. The advantage of this sort of bet is that you get slightly better odds than a straight over 2.5 goal bet, with some insurance if you don’t exceed three goals.
The over 2.25 goals bet is best seen as half an over 2.5 goals bet and half an over 2.0 goals bet. If the score is 2-0, you lose with the over 2.5 goals part, but get a refund with the over 2.0 goals part. The advantage of this sort of bet is that you get slightly better odds than betting on over 1.5 goals and slightly better odds than betting on over 2.00 goals, with some insurance if you finish exactly on your target.
To help you make sense of all the options, here’s a summary of all the main Over/ Under goal options

[block]14[/block]Goal Line Betting Stats

To help your goal betting, here goal betting stats from across the top leagues in Europe:

  • 53% of Premier League games finish with over 2.5 goals (Odds equivalent of 1.88). This trend has increased in recent years.
  • 30% of Premier League games finish with over 3.5 goals (odds equivalent of 3.29)
  • Premier League: When a top six team plays at home, the over 2.5 goal percentage increases to 58% (odds equivalent of 1.74), but when they play at away, the over 2.5 goal percentage is just 53% (1.88).
  • Premier League: Top six v top six clashes are no more likely than average to finish with over 2.5 goals (53%), but are less likely to finish over 3.5 goals (25% of games).
  • Premier League: Bottom six v bottom six clashes are no more likely to finish over 2.5 goals (53%), but are slightly more likely to finish over 3.5 goals (31%).
  • France is one of the lowest scoring leagues in Europe, with just 44% of matches finishing over 2.5 goals (odds equivalent of 2.29).
  • Germany is the highest scoring league as teams are more likely to push for a result rather than sit back and defend a lead. 56% of games finish over 2.5 goals (odds equivalent of 1.77) and 34% of matches finish over 3.5 goals (odds equivalent of 2.91)

[block]15[/block]Stats go back to the 09/10 season

What Does Over 4.5 Goals Means

This article has been prepared with the assistance of SecretBettingClub.com

Over 4.5 Goals Prediction

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